Probably not quite. First, there'll be another election before then and
... well, we'll see.
Then the ban extends down to 40W AFAIK. I am sure some clever business
will start selling 39W light bulbs. The basic idea seems to come from
A gray market might also develop. In Germany where 100W bulbs have been
banned long since they are still happily selling them:
As for frosted ones which were particularly frowned upon by regulators
the page states "Bei Lampenwelt.de erhalten Sie matte Glühlampen noch
aus größeren Restbeständen. Lieferung sofort ab Lager solange der Vorrat
reicht!" which means " ... frosted light bulbs from large overstock.
Prompt delivery as long as stock lasts!". For some reason it must have
lasted more than a year by now
Ban, compliance, two different things it seems.