M

#### [email protected]

- Jan 1, 1970

- 0

On Mon, 12 Feb 2007 14:39:49 +1300, Terry Given wrote:

...

Don't just throw the cards on the table. Deal them from the top of

the deck, saying aloud, in order, "One, two, three, four, ..." and

so on, up to 11 (Jack), 12 (Queen) and 13(King), then start at one

again. (IOW, count to 13 four times, one per card.)

If any one of the cards' pip value matches the number you're calling

out, you have to give me a penny.

If you get all the way through the deck without any matching numbers,

I'll give you a dollar.

Is this a fair bet? ;-)

But what does this have to do with the OP's failure to

calculate probability correctly?

Since ALL possible arrangements of cards are a "success"

as far as shuffling is concerned, the probaility is

10^68/10^68 or 1, so it's not remarkable at all.

Now if the OP wants to specify an arrangement PRIOR

to shuffling, then the probability would be 1/10^68.