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That global warming thingy

J

John Larkin

Jan 1, 1970
0
It's funny how you guys talk of Europe being 'socialist' when in fact it's the
US that's being held to ransom by trades unions !

A government should be influenced by everyone. The more the better.
"Democracy" is what it's called, I think.
Such a thing would never be tolerated here.

Are you suggesting that organized labor has no political influence in
the UK? That sounds nice.

John
 
J

John Larkin

Jan 1, 1970
0
BLTs ?

Over here that's a Bacon Lettuce and Tomato sandwich.

Graham

Right. Our bacon is the thin, crispy kind. The Irish and "Canadian"
bacons are more like sliced ham to us.

It doesn't get much better than this:

http://www.thelibertycafe.com/

They are also famous for their chicken pot pie, and for the little
bakery in the back yard.

John
 
D

Don Klipstein

Jan 1, 1970
0
At the surface perhaps.

This is for raising the entire mass of the oceans by an average of 2
degrees. It assumes that the surface temperature will maintain a .035
degree C per year rise after 1979 and that the thermal mass of the oceans
forms a first order lowpass filter with a time constant of 270 years as
calculated or "calculated" above.
I did not actually calculate but only estimated the time needed for the
output of a first order 270-year-time-constant filter to increase by 2
units after the start of a .035 unit per year ramp signal. Now I tried a
simple computer model for this, and get 197 years - the year 2176.

=====================================

Now for another scenario:

http://www.windows.ucar.edu/tour/link=/earth/Water/temp.html

shows the ocean being divided into 3 main layers - the surface layer,
the thermocline and the deep ocean.

The deep ocean largely has a temperature really close to that of maximum
density of water. I suspect this may be largely regulated, by being fed
water from whatever locations of the upper layers that have this
temperature.

If the temperature of the deep ocean is regulated, then ocean warming
will be largely confined to the upper layers. As an oversimplification, I
will take the depth of the region that warms to be the surface layer and
half the thermocline - 600 meters.

Using a 600 meter depth instead of a 3710 meter depth, the thermal time
constant shortens from 270 years to 44 years. With input signal of a .035
degree per year ramp starting in 1979, my simple computer model projects a
2 degree rise 97 years from 1979, or in 2075.

The above page says that the average temperature of the surface layer is
17 degrees C. The volume thermal expansion coefficient of water is about
..00017 per degree C. The average over the range of temperatures of ocean
water appears to me a bit less, maybe .00015 per degree C.
So when the top 600 meters has warmed up by 2 degrees C, it would expand
by about .03%, or .18 meter.

- Don Klipstein ([email protected])
 
M

Michael A. Terrell

Jan 1, 1970
0
default said:
We can already see the "positive" aspects of a warmer climate here
(Southeastern US). Crops that once flourished untouched by insects
are virtually impossible to grow because the lack of a hard freeze
leaves the mold and insect larva intact from season to season. I, for
one, would like a real tomato, not those little cherry thingees, or
that tasteless crap that Florida exports. Haven't seen a real tomato
in close to 10 years now.


I live south of Ocala, Florida and see a hard freeze at least once a
year. As far as the tomatoes grown in Florida? They have never been
very good. They grow multiple crops per year of a lot of crops. The
varieties they grow to achieve this are not the best for a taste, but do
make the grows tons of cash.


--
Service to my country? Been there, Done that, and I've got my DD214 to
prove it.
Member of DAV #85.

Michael A. Terrell
Central Florida
 
E

Eeyore

Jan 1, 1970
0
John said:
A government should be influenced by everyone. The more the better.
"Democracy" is what it's called, I think.



Are you suggesting that organized labor has no political influence in
the UK? That sounds nice.

Of course it has some influence. It could never achieve the above though.

Graham
 
J

John Larkin

Jan 1, 1970
0
This is for raising the entire mass of the oceans by an average of 2
degrees. It assumes that the surface temperature will maintain a .035
degree C per year rise after 1979 and that the thermal mass of the oceans
forms a first order lowpass filter with a time constant of 270 years as
calculated or "calculated" above.
I did not actually calculate but only estimated the time needed for the
output of a first order 270-year-time-constant filter to increase by 2
units after the start of a .035 unit per year ramp signal. Now I tried a
simple computer model for this, and get 197 years - the year 2176.

=====================================

Now for another scenario:

http://www.windows.ucar.edu/tour/link=/earth/Water/temp.html

shows the ocean being divided into 3 main layers - the surface layer,
the thermocline and the deep ocean.

The deep ocean largely has a temperature really close to that of maximum
density of water. I suspect this may be largely regulated, by being fed
water from whatever locations of the upper layers that have this
temperature.

If the temperature of the deep ocean is regulated, then ocean warming
will be largely confined to the upper layers. As an oversimplification, I
will take the depth of the region that warms to be the surface layer and
half the thermocline - 600 meters.

Using a 600 meter depth instead of a 3710 meter depth, the thermal time
constant shortens from 270 years to 44 years. With input signal of a .035
degree per year ramp starting in 1979, my simple computer model projects a
2 degree rise 97 years from 1979, or in 2075.

The above page says that the average temperature of the surface layer is
17 degrees C. The volume thermal expansion coefficient of water is about
.00017 per degree C. The average over the range of temperatures of ocean
water appears to me a bit less, maybe .00015 per degree C.
So when the top 600 meters has warmed up by 2 degrees C, it would expand
by about .03%, or .18 meter.

- Don Klipstein ([email protected])


You must be wrong. Al Gore says 20 feet.

John
 
M

MassiveProng

Jan 1, 1970
0
Unfortunately it isn't happening. Requires I download a "player" to
view the format - it isn't a standard video file type.

Bwuahahahahaha! Still ruinning that K6 eh?
Then there's the pesky other 11 videos to watch before forming an
opinion. - on dialup? Sorry, better things to do then wait for that.

Bwuahahahahah! Yet another dial-up retard!Are you sure you aren't
on one of BAH's TTY terminals?

Catch up with the rest of the world retard. Until then, you have no
opinions or views that make a shit.
 
D

Don Klipstein

Jan 1, 1970
0
(for sea level to rise by 1 meter from thermal expansion)
You must be wrong. Al Gore says 20 feet.

My figures are for only sea level rise due to thermal expansion of the
ocean, or alternatively of thermal expansion of the top 600 meters, due to
2 degree C temperature rise.

Most of the bigger projections include icecap melting.

- Don Klipstein ([email protected])
 
D

Don Klipstein

Jan 1, 1970
0
Scroll below for corrections of my work by myself, in terms of
projections as to what year how much ocean warms up how much.

The reason is that I was using a .035 degree C per year surface
temperature rise, which I extrapolated erroneously from the graph at the
top of the Wiki article on global warming. What I did wrong was think of
a big block in the horizontal scale to be 1 decade rather than two.
I am now considering surface temperature to be rising by .023 degree C
per year, and I will below correct my projections for use of surface
temperature continuing to rise at .023 degree C per year instead of the
..035 that I used before.
(for sea level to rise by 1 meter from thermal expansion)

Using .023 rather than .035 degree C per year surface temperature rise
has this happening 250 years from 1979, or in 2229.

Changing the rate of rise of surface temperature from .035 to .023
degree C per year has this occurring 128 years from 1979, or in 2107.

Of course, this is assuming surface temperature maintaining a .023
degree C per linear ramp from the uptick that started in 1979.

- Don Klipstein ([email protected])
 
R

Richard The Dreaded Libertarian

Jan 1, 1970
0
I
How about considering the positive aspects of a warmer climate. It looks good to
me. No heating on here right now for example. That'll reduce my carbon emissions
for starters. Longer growing seasons etc.....
West Nile Fever, Eastern Equine Encephalitis, Malaria, Dengue are
other advantages
[/QUOTE]

Still haven't discovered vaccination or antibiotics in your neck of the
woods?

Good Luck!
Rich
 
R

Richard The Dreaded Libertarian

Jan 1, 1970
0
I'm no climatologist, but I have gotten into the habit of listening to
people that know about the topics I don't. The large consensus of
climatologists says it is real and I tend to believe it.

Feh. Climatologists have about as much scientific credibility as
epidemiologists.

IOW, they have no clue, so they make up "studies" designed to "prove"
their point, then they turn it into dogma, and make you a "bad person"
if you don't swallow the party line, hook, line, and sinker.

I find it supremely interesting that not a one of them has any clue
about the Solar Constant, which isn't [isn't constant, that is]. How
did human activity cause the rise in Mars's temperature? Is Prince Al
going to jump on a rocket ship and go turn down the Sun's thermostat?

But, I learned about propaganda back in the "commie behind every tree"
Joe McCarthy days - one of the most effective (and so most popular} is The
Big Lie: You tell a big enough lie, long enough and stridently enough, and
eventually people will start to swallow it.

Just like the prohibitionists, the drugophobes, the homophobes, the
gun-phobes, the antismokerists, the ozone-hole-ists, the list goes
on and on.

Thanks,
Rich
 
M

martin griffith

Jan 1, 1970
0
Still haven't discovered vaccination or antibiotics in your neck of the
woods?
Maybe you have heard of a Dr. Fleming, a european, I beleive


martin
 
D

Don Klipstein

Jan 1, 1970
0
Richard The said:
I'm no climatologist, but I have gotten into the habit of listening to
people that know about the topics I don't. The large consensus of
climatologists says it is real and I tend to believe it.

Feh. Climatologists have about as much scientific credibility as
epidemiologists.

IOW, they have no clue, so they make up "studies" designed to "prove"
their point, then they turn it into dogma, and make you a "bad person"
if you don't swallow the party line, hook, line, and sinker.

I find it supremely interesting that not a one of them has any clue
about the Solar Constant, which isn't [isn't constant, that is]. How
did human activity cause the rise in Mars's temperature? Is Prince Al
going to jump on a rocket ship and go turn down the Sun's thermostat?

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=192

says that solar output has declined slightly in recent years, and that
shrinkage of one of Mars' icecaps in the past 3 Martian years occurred
because the weather on Mars is unstable and varies greatly from one year to
another.

- Don Klipstein ([email protected])
 
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